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PolyConsensus

Unusual new money · Open the market page

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

What the flagged wallets on this market have in common: when they entered, how they traded, how alike they look and where their money came from. New wallets betting big against the crowd. This is not proof that anyone knows anything.

1 flagged wallet, $7.0K in, 0 against the crowd (the crowd: Yes). Feed as of . How this is counted

How alike they look

One flagged wallet: nothing to compare it with.

Similarity is a resemblance, not proof of coordination: two wallets can enter the same market within minutes by chance, and one person can run wallets that look nothing alike.

Timing

First entry , last . The first large trade the site saw on this market was .

Behaviour

1 wallet holds Yes ($7.0K). 1 × one fill.

WalletEntered (UTC)After firstSideEntry pricePositionP/LFillsBiggest fillShare of its positionsAge · prior
0xbc00…75a7firstYes90.4¢avg 90.4¢$7.0K+$478.161 buyone fill · holding · 1 round$7.0K100 % of its buys58 %1 other market9.7 d · 5

Funding

Funding data is being collected. It shows each wallet's first incoming USDC transfers on Polygon: the sender, the amount and how long before the first trade.

Read this with care

  • Similarity is a resemblance, not proof of coordination: two wallets can enter the same market within minutes by chance, and one person can run wallets that look nothing alike.
  • Positions, sizes and times come from the large fills ($1,000 or more) the site saw; smaller fills and fills before the site first met a wallet are not counted, so every figure is a floor.
  • One flagged wallet: nothing to compare it with.
  • Funding data is being collected for 1 wallet.
  • Other markets come from the live feed's last 48 hours and the wallets' other open positions seen there; older trades are not visible.

Not financial advice. Data for bots: GET /api/v1/new-money/no-hormuz-agreement-by-nov-2 (API docs).