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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 50%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$3.45
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$1.03
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$2.42
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $550 | +$2.08 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $275 | $550 | +$275 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $268.88 | — | -$272.92 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $500.3 | $500 | -$0.3 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $250.3 | — | -$250.3 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $11.45 | $10 | -$1.13 | 62% 4812-2936 (7748) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 66% 4119-2085 (6204) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.1¢ | $1.42 | — | -$1.42 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
SO
soswald1ARB<$100Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$2.08
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
Both legs:
Up$27550¢+$275
Down$268.8850¢-$272.92
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$500.3
Value
$500
PnL
-$0.3
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Both legs:
Down$250.349.8¢-$250.3
Up$25050¢+$250
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$11.45
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.13
Record
62%
4812-2936 (7748)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
4119-2085 (6204)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
—
PnL
-$1.42
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb7ab3d60...ae606e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794785100