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UpUpDownDownDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 38%
Total Value
$38
Combined PnL
$-1.0K
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,062
Combined PnL$-1.0K
Down5 traders
Total Value$38
Total Shares38
Combined PnL-$1.74
Up — 38%Down — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | — | -$531.8 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $503.01 | — | -$503.01 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.7¢ | $17.7 | $15 | -$2.7 | 62% 4812-2936 (7748) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 4700-98 (4798) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $6.3 | $7 | +$0.7 | 53% 3147-2839 (5986) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 66% 4119-2085 (6204) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 36% 1532-2761 (4293) |
SO
soswald1CTRInvested
$550
Value
—
PnL
-$531.8
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$503.01
Value
—
PnL
-$503.01
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.7
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.7
Record
62%
4812-2936 (7748)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
4700-98 (4798)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.7
Record
53%
3147-2839 (5986)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
66%
4119-2085 (6204)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
36%
1532-2761 (4293)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x693c8ea5...bba409
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794784200