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UpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 20%
Total Value
$45.18
Combined PnL
-$501.8
Smart Money Signal
Up
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares510
Combined PnL-$500.5
Down4 traders
Total Value$45.18
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$1.3
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.7¢ | $505.8 | — | -$500.5 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 58.4¢ | $26.89 | $25.18 | -$1.71 | 52% 4002-3711 (7713) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $9.99 | $10 | +$0.01 | 54% 1670-1435 (3105) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 62% 4812-2936 (7748) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.8 | $5 | +$0.2 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$505.8
Value
—
PnL
-$500.5
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$26.89
Value
$25.18
PnL
-$1.71
Record
52%
4002-3711 (7713)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.01
Record
54%
1670-1435 (3105)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
62%
4812-2936 (7748)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.2
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a244408...858c27
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794783900