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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 27%

Total Value

$639.5

Combined PnL

-$489.96

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$639.5
Total Shares639
Combined PnL+$4.55
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares584
Combined PnL-$494.5
Up — 73%Down — 27%
BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$509.6

Value

$500

PnL

+$0.1

Record

54%

4416-3739 (8155)

SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$550

Value

—

PnL

-$493.93

Record

52%

4002-3711 (7713)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$61.15

Value

$65

PnL

+$3.85

Record

48%

2616-2848 (5464)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$23.35

Value

$25

PnL

+$1.65

Record

47%

2539-2808 (5347)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$21.29

Value

$21.48

PnL

+$0.19

Record

66%

4119-2085 (6204)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$12.24

Value

$10

PnL

-$2.24

Record

54%

1670-1435 (3105)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$5.7

Value

$5.05

PnL

-$0.15

Record

62%

4812-2936 (7748)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6.65

PnL

+$0.77

Record

65%

2926-1596 (4522)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.32

PnL

+$0.38

Record

50%

2955-2954 (5909)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.52

Value

—

PnL

-$0.52

Record

49%

3753-3853 (7606)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1532-2761 (4293)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x21659d84...8907a8
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794783600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

+$0.1
SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$493.93
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $65

+$3.85

ohioism

Up — $25

+$1.65
AS

asdaefef

Up — $21.48

+$0.19
0X

0x50f7

Up — $10

-$2.24
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5.05

-$0.15
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $6.65

+$0.77
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $6.32

+$0.38
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.52
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