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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 88%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$586.03

Combined PnL

$1.99

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$86.03

Total Shares86

Combined PnL+$5.34

Down1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares10

Combined PnL-$3.35

Up — 88%Down — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	54% 4416-3739 (8155)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 98¢	$29.4	$30	+$0.6	98% 4700-98 (4798)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$12.87	$13	+$0.13	50% 2955-2954 (5909)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 88¢	$13.2	$15	+$1.8	49% 2596-2668 (5264)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 88¢	$8.8	$10	+$1.2	52% 4002-3711 (7713)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$6.93	$7	+$0.07	66% 4119-2085 (6204)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98.5¢	$5.94	$6.03	+$0.09	65% 2926-1596 (4522)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 71¢	$3.55	$5	+$1.45	62% 4812-2936 (7748)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 33.5¢	$3.35	—	-$3.35	43% 2221-2992 (5213)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

4416-3739 (8155)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$250

Down$25050¢-$250

Invested

$29.4

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.6

Record

98%

4700-98 (4798)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$12.87

Value

$13

PnL

+$0.13

Record

50%

2955-2954 (5909)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$13.2

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.8

Record

49%

2596-2668 (5264)

Invested

$8.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.2

Record

52%

4002-3711 (7713)

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

66%

4119-2085 (6204)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.03

PnL

+$0.09

Record

65%

2926-1596 (4522)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.45

Record

62%

4812-2936 (7748)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.35

Value

—

PnL

-$3.35

Record

43%

2221-2992 (5213)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3d01fea9...9824e8

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794782400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

hoodquant

Up — $30

dvasdkasodk

Up — $13

uninformedfloww

Up — $15

soswald1

Up — $10

asdaefef

Up — $7

asidjasiodja

Up — $6.03

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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