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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$591.7

Combined PnL

-$25.56

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$96.7

Total Shares97

Combined PnL+$25.78

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares127

Combined PnL-$51.35

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.2¢	$509.62	$495	+$0.55	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.2¢	$248.6	$495	+$246.6
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$246.7	—	-$246.05
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 67.2¢	$56.79	$72.43	+$15.64	49% 2590-2661 (5251)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 36.7¢	$23.89	—	-$23.89	49% 3718-3826 (7544)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 63.1¢	$9.53	$10.1	+$3.95	62% 4780-2916 (7696)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 82.2¢	$6.72	$8.18	+$1.46	66% 4097-2069 (6166)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 21¢	$1.26	$6	+$4.74	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$0.85	—	-$0.85	53% 3129-2827 (5956)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 31.8¢	$22.31	—	-$22.31	52% 3978-3687 (7665)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 28.7¢	$4.3	—	-$4.3	48% 2593-2832 (5425)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$509.62

Value

$495

PnL

+$0.55

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

Both legs:

Up$248.650.2¢+$246.6

Down$246.749.7¢-$246.05

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$56.79

Value

$72.43

PnL

+$15.64

Record

49%

2590-2661 (5251)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$23.89

Value

—

PnL

-$23.89

Record

49%

3718-3826 (7544)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$9.53

Value

$10.1

PnL

+$3.95

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

Invested

$6.72

Value

$8.18

PnL

+$1.46

Record

66%

4097-2069 (6166)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.74

Record

43%

2210-2957 (5167)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.85

Value

—

PnL

-$0.85

Record

53%

3129-2827 (5956)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$22.31

Value

—

PnL

-$22.31

Record

52%

3978-3687 (7665)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

—

PnL

-$4.3

Record

48%

2593-2832 (5425)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x90dc8a16...85c9d0

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794781800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Up — $72.43

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $10.1

asdaefef

Up — $8.18

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

soswald1

Down — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

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