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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

$5.1

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$1.1K
Total Shares1,057
Combined PnL+$5.88
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares54
Combined PnL-$0.78
Up — 78%Down — 22%
SO
soswald1ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$550

Value

$539.78

PnL

+$1.98

Record

52%

3978-3687 (7665)

Both legs:

Up$269.8950¢+$271.18
Down$267.550¢-$269.2
0X
0x50f7
Up

Invested

$507.49

Value

$508.01

PnL

+$0.52

Record

54%

1662-1428 (3090)

BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$500.1

Value

$500.2

PnL

+$0.1

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$20.5

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.5

Record

49%

2590-2661 (5251)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

98%

4661-98 (4759)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.14

Record

50%

2938-2929 (5867)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.4

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.15

Record

65%

2910-1583 (4493)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

49%

3718-3826 (7544)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.18

Value

—

PnL

-$0.18

Record

43%

2210-2957 (5167)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7c152100...698b9d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794781500

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$1.98
0X

0x50f7

Up — $508.01

+$0.52
BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $500.2

+$0.1
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

+$4.5
HO

hoodquant

Up — $7

+$0.07
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $7

+$0.14
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5.05

+$0.4
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

+$0.15
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.6
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.18
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