Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$604.38

Combined PnL

$3.59

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$114.38

Total Shares114

Combined PnL+$13.99

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares24

Combined PnL-$10.4

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$513.2	$490	-$11.35	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.5¢	$247.69	$490	+$242.4
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$252.9	—	-$253.75
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 79.2¢	$43.87	$55.42	+$11.55	49% 2590-2661 (5251)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$29.86	$30.31	+$0.45	52% 3978-3687 (7665)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$8.91	$9	+$0.09	98% 4661-98 (4759)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$6.6	—	-$6.6	49% 3718-3826 (7544)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 98.6¢	$6.93	$7.03	+$0.1	50% 2938-2929 (5867)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 58.2¢	$9.52	$9.96	+$1.64	62% 4780-2916 (7696)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 31.7¢	$3.8	—	-$3.8	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 94¢	$2.51	$2.67	+$0.16	53% 3129-2827 (5956)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$513.2

Value

$490

PnL

-$11.35

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

Both legs:

Up$247.6950.5¢+$242.4

Down$252.950.1¢-$253.75

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$43.87

Value

$55.42

PnL

+$11.55

Record

49%

2590-2661 (5251)

Invested

$29.86

Value

$30.31

PnL

+$0.45

Record

52%

3978-3687 (7665)

Invested

$8.91

Value

$9

PnL

+$0.09

Record

98%

4661-98 (4759)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$6.6

Value

—

PnL

-$6.6

Record

49%

3718-3826 (7544)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7.03

PnL

+$0.1

Record

50%

2938-2929 (5867)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$9.52

Value

$9.96

PnL

+$1.64

Record

62%

4780-2916 (7696)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

43%

2210-2957 (5167)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$2.51

Value

$2.67

PnL

+$0.16

Record

53%

3129-2827 (5956)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x7f96e0dd...035494

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794781200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Up — $55.42

soswald1

Up — $30.31

hoodquant

Up — $9

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $7.03

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $9.96

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $2.67

Trade on Polymarket