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UpDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$25.47
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$598.41
Total Shares598
Combined PnL+$31.34
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares297
Combined PnL-$5.87
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $553.85 | $547.62 | +$21.46 | 52% 3952-3665 (7617) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.2¢ | $501 | $495 | -$2.15 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $247.5 | $495 | +$248.85 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.2¢ | $251 | — | -$251 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $21.39 | $24.62 | +$3.23 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 70.9¢ | $7.92 | $10.99 | +$3.07 | 53% 3113-2811 (5924) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $7 | $9.18 | +$3.04 | 62% 4748-2897 (7645) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $5.87 | — | -$5.87 | 54% 1650-1425 (3075) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.46 | $6 | +$0.54 | 50% 2915-2911 (5826) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$553.85
Value
$547.62
PnL
+$21.46
Record
52%
3952-3665 (7617)
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$501
Value
$495
PnL
-$2.15
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
Both legs:
Up$247.550¢+$248.85
Down$25149.2¢-$251
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$21.39
Value
$24.62
PnL
+$3.23
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$10.99
PnL
+$3.07
Record
53%
3113-2811 (5924)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$7
Value
$9.18
PnL
+$3.04
Record
62%
4748-2897 (7645)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$5.87
Value
—
PnL
-$5.87
Record
54%
1650-1425 (3075)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.46
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.54
Record
50%
2915-2911 (5826)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x904980ef...b8063f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794777600