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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 44%

Total Value

$83.75

Combined PnL

-$504.74

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares576

Combined PnL-$518.67

Up5 traders

Total Value$83.75

Total Shares84

Combined PnL+$13.94

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 48.1¢	$507.49	—	-$494.92	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 71.6¢	$27.43	$30.98	+$2.71	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
SO soswald1<$100	Upavg 39.6¢	$17.7	$26.29	+$8.59	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 94¢	$14.55	$15.48	+$0.93	50% 2915-2911 (5826)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 85¢	$6.54	$6	-$0.54	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 55¢	$2.75	$5	+$2.25	47% 2506-2778 (5284)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 16¢	$1.12	—	-$1.12	65% 2887-1573 (4460)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 57.5¢	$19.88	—	-$19.88	36% 1518-2714 (4232)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 13.4¢	$2.75	—	-$2.75	66% 4070-2058 (6128)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$507.49

Value

—

PnL

-$494.92

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$27.43

Value

$30.98

PnL

+$2.71

Record

62%

4748-2897 (7645)

Invested

$17.7

Value

$26.29

PnL

+$8.59

Record

52%

3952-3665 (7617)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$14.55

Value

$15.48

PnL

+$0.93

Record

50%

2915-2911 (5826)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$6.54

Value

$6

PnL

-$0.54

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

Invested

$2.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.25

Record

47%

2506-2778 (5284)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

65%

2887-1573 (4460)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$19.88

Value

—

PnL

-$19.88

Record

36%

1518-2714 (4232)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$2.75

Value

—

PnL

-$2.75

Record

66%

4070-2058 (6128)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x55dd4396...8b5d59

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794776400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30.98

soswald1

Up — $26.29

dvasdkasodk

Up — $15.48

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $6

ohioism

Up — $5

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

asdaefef

Down — $0

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