Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$658.81

Combined PnL

$10.9

Down

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down6 traders

Total Value$160.81

Total Shares161

Combined PnL+$21.18

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares29

Combined PnL-$10.28

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.3¢	$506.31	$498	-$0.94	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$250.28	$498	+$249.06
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 63.9¢	$63.59	$61.99	-$1.6	36% 1518-2714 (4232)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 68.1¢	$30.14	$34.55	+$8.38	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 59.6¢	$22.45	$37.7	+$15.25	52% 3952-3665 (7617)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 83.5¢	$16.5	$11	-$0.91	62% 4748-2897 (7645)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 99¢	$10.6	$9.56	-$1.04	66% 4070-2058 (6128)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$5.18	—	-$5.18	44% 2472-3195 (5667)
YO YouSayUpISayDown<$100	Downavg 81.7¢	$4.9	$6	+$1.1	31% 70-158 (228)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 34¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	47% 2506-2778 (5284)