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UpUpUpDownUpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$541.74
Combined PnL
-$6.35
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$46.9
Total Shares47
Combined PnL+$8.27
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$14.62
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $504.95 | $494.84 | +$1.85 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.2¢ | $248.5 | $494.84 | +$249.82 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.5¢ | $246.47 | — | -$247.97 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 77.1¢ | $14.73 | $17.3 | +$2.57 | 62% 4692-2855 (7547) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $14.41 | $18.01 | +$3.6 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 26.1¢ | $10.77 | — | -$10.77 | 52% 3909-3625 (7534) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $4.15 | $5 | +$0.85 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $5.34 | $6.59 | +$1.25 | 66% 4016-2029 (6045) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.7¢ | $3.85 | — | -$3.85 | 43% 2435-3165 (5600) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$504.95
Value
$494.84
PnL
+$1.85
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Both legs:
Up$248.550.2¢+$249.82
Down$246.4749.5¢-$247.97
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$14.73
Value
$17.3
PnL
+$2.57
Record
62%
4692-2855 (7547)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$14.41
Value
$18.01
PnL
+$3.6
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$10.77
Value
—
PnL
-$10.77
Record
52%
3909-3625 (7534)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.85
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.34
Value
$6.59
PnL
+$1.25
Record
66%
4016-2029 (6045)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
-$3.85
Record
43%
2435-3165 (5600)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xddccd5a1...a6295d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794769200