Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 90%
$1.1K
-$7.5
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $556.7 | $545 | +$8.79 | 52% 3909-3625 (7534) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $526.09 | $491.91 | +$4.52 | 54% 4282-3627 (7909) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.6Β’ | $35.74 | β | -$35.74 | 36% 1504-2673 (4177) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $22.77 | $23 | +$0.23 | 50% 2877-2870 (5747) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 26.9Β’ | $9.9 | $21.56 | +$11.66 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $18.46 | $7.75 | -$7.86 | 62% 4692-2855 (7547) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 3.1Β’ | $0.34 | $11.1 | +$10.76 | 53% 1627-1417 (3044) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 4560-95 (4655) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.89 | $4.94 | +$0.05 | 66% 4016-2029 (6045) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $3.92 | $3.96 | +$0.04 | 65% 2855-1552 (4407) |
Invested
$556.7
Value
$545
PnL
+$8.79
Record
52%
3909-3625 (7534)
Invested
$526.09
Value
$491.91
PnL
+$4.52
Record
54%
4282-3627 (7909)
Invested
$35.74
Value
β
PnL
-$35.74
Record
36%
1504-2673 (4177)
Invested
$22.77
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.23
Record
50%
2877-2870 (5747)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$21.56
PnL
+$11.66
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
Invested
$18.46
Value
$7.75
PnL
-$7.86
Record
62%
4692-2855 (7547)
Invested
$0.34
Value
$11.1
PnL
+$10.76
Record
53%
1627-1417 (3044)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
4560-95 (4655)
Invested
$4.89
Value
$4.94
PnL
+$0.05
Record
66%
4016-2029 (6045)
Invested
$3.92
Value
$3.96
PnL
+$0.04
Record
65%
2855-1552 (4407)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down β $545
ByteBadger92
Down β $491.91
antsaslyku
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
Down β $23
uninformedfloww
Down β $21.56
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $7.75
0x50f7
Down β $11.1
hoodquant
Down β $5
asdaefef
Down β $4.94
asidjasiodja
Down β $3.96