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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.0K
Combined PnL
$3.9
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$538.07
Total Shares538
Combined PnL+$7.52
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares28
Combined PnL-$3.62
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $550 | $517 | +$6.72 | 52% 3882-3606 (7488) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $507.8 | $494.89 | +$2.79 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $247.5 | — | -$248.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.5¢ | $250.16 | $494.89 | +$251.19 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92.4¢ | $26.21 | $21.07 | +$0.8 | 62% 4661-2837 (7498) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 42% 2109-2870 (4979) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 50% 2856-2850 (5706) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.6¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 52% 3060-2773 (5833) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$517
PnL
+$6.72
Record
52%
3882-3606 (7488)
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$507.8
Value
$494.89
PnL
+$2.79
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Both legs:
Down$247.550¢-$248.4
Up$250.1650.5¢+$251.19
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$26.21
Value
$21.07
PnL
+$0.8
Record
62%
4661-2837 (7498)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
42%
2109-2870 (4979)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
50%
2856-2850 (5706)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
52%
3060-2773 (5833)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcc0cc0e8...fcaa07
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794768000