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DownUpDownUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 75%
Total Value
$120.79
Combined PnL
-$505.82
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares618
Combined PnL-$564.81
Up2 traders
Total Value$120.79
Total Shares121
Combined PnL+$58.99
Down — 75%Up — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $513.71 | — | -$491 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 47.4¢ | $51.4 | $108.4 | +$57 | 49% 2495-2563 (5058) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 63.7¢ | $45.28 | — | -$45.28 | 52% 3858-3579 (7437) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 66.4¢ | $14.95 | $12.39 | +$1.99 | 62% 4631-2815 (7446) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $9.36 | — | -$9.36 | 49% 3629-3730 (7359) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $9.54 | — | -$9.54 | 36% 1488-2638 (4126) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $7.95 | — | -$7.95 | 52% 3043-2759 (5802) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 50% 2835-2829 (5664) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$513.71
Value
—
PnL
-$491
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$51.4
Value
$108.4
PnL
+$57
Record
49%
2495-2563 (5058)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$45.28
Value
—
PnL
-$45.28
Record
52%
3858-3579 (7437)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$14.95
Value
$12.39
PnL
+$1.99
Record
62%
4631-2815 (7446)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$9.36
Value
—
PnL
-$9.36
Record
49%
3629-3730 (7359)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$9.54
Value
—
PnL
-$9.54
Record
36%
1488-2638 (4126)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
—
PnL
-$7.95
Record
52%
3043-2759 (5802)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
50%
2835-2829 (5664)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb14d92d8...594800
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794763200