Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$12.01

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$49.41

Total Shares49

Combined PnL+$0.97

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares50

Combined PnL-$12.98

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$550	$540	-$4.15	52% 3858-3579 (7437)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$275	—	-$275
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$270	$540	+$270.85
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.4¢	$507.1	$499	-$5.26	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.4¢	$254.58	—	-$254.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$249.5	$499	+$249.29
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 88.2¢	$24.43	$25.11	+$0.68	50% 2835-2829 (5664)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 74.3¢	$23.24	$17	+$0.22	62% 4631-2815 (7446)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 28¢	$6.6	—	-$6.6	49% 2495-2563 (5058)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$4.35	—	-$4.35	44% 2407-3121 (5528)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	65% 2817-1530 (4347)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$1.98	—	-$1.98	48% 2544-2786 (5330)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$2.28	$2.3	+$0.02	98% 4498-92 (4590)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1488-2638 (4126)