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UpDownUpDownUpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 67%
Total Value
$25.54
Combined PnL
-$503.17
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares542
Combined PnL-$505.76
Down2 traders
Total Value$25.54
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$2.59
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.5¢ | $502.3 | — | -$500.7 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $16.65 | $15 | -$1.65 | 50% 2835-2829 (5664) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.83 | — | -$0.83 | 53% 1595-1405 (3000) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 59.8¢ | $6.3 | $10.54 | +$4.24 | 62% 4631-2815 (7446) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 67% 3966-1997 (5963) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 52% 3858-3579 (7437) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 52% 3043-2759 (5802) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$502.3
Value
—
PnL
-$500.7
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$16.65
Value
$15
PnL
-$1.65
Record
50%
2835-2829 (5664)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.83
Value
—
PnL
-$0.83
Record
53%
1595-1405 (3000)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$6.3
Value
$10.54
PnL
+$4.24
Record
62%
4631-2815 (7446)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
67%
3966-1997 (5963)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
52%
3858-3579 (7437)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
52%
3043-2759 (5802)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x62640597...146857
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794762000