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UpDownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDownUp
ohioismCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$26.33
Combined PnL
-$491.2
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares526
Combined PnL-$494.74
Down3 traders
Total Value$26.33
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$3.54
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$491.5 | 54% 4218-3562 (7780) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $8.9 | $10.06 | +$1.16 | 62% 4631-2815 (7446) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $8.55 | $10 | +$1.45 | 52% 3858-3579 (7437) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.4¢ | $0.96 | — | -$0.96 | 44% 2407-3121 (5528) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.2¢ | $5.34 | $6.27 | +$0.93 | 67% 3966-1997 (5963) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 50% 2835-2829 (5664) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 48% 2440-2688 (5128) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$491.5
Record
54%
4218-3562 (7780)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$8.9
Value
$10.06
PnL
+$1.16
Record
62%
4631-2815 (7446)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$8.55
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.45
Record
52%
3858-3579 (7437)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.96
Value
—
PnL
-$0.96
Record
44%
2407-3121 (5528)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.34
Value
$6.27
PnL
+$0.93
Record
67%
3966-1997 (5963)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
50%
2835-2829 (5664)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
48%
2440-2688 (5128)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad0e1ccb...bfc33c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794761400