Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$573.09

Combined PnL

-$10.79

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down5 traders

Total Value$74.38

Total Shares74

Combined PnL+$2.25

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares60

Combined PnL-$13.04

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$511.53	$498.71	+$8.79	54% 4162-3504 (7666)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$246.85	—	-$246.2
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.4¢	$246.41	$498.71	+$254.99
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 66.8¢	$33.92	$25	-$6.4	62% 4574-2778 (7352)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 47.2¢	$19.36	$22.06	+$2.7	52% 3806-3541 (7347)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 99¢	$19.8	$20	+$0.2	49% 1730-1766 (3496)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 66.7¢	$9.8	—	-$9.8	36% 1471-2611 (4082)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$1.19	—	-$1.19	50% 2795-2794 (5589)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 11¢	$0.58	$5.25	+$4.67	49% 2456-2514 (4970)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$1.12	—	-$1.12	65% 2772-1511 (4283)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 13¢	$0.93	—	-$0.93	66% 3908-1973 (5881)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 48¢	$1	$2.08	+$1.08	52% 2997-2745 (5742)