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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

14

Up 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$667.61

Combined PnL

-$28.88

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$172.61

Total Shares173

Combined PnL+$60.4

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares127

Combined PnL-$89.27

Up — 57%Down — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$523.68	$494.99	+$8.24	54% 4162-3504 (7666)
└ Up leg	Upavg 48.2¢	$238.55	$494.99	+$259.5
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$251.31	—	-$251.26
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 41.5¢	$17.59	$40.4	+$22.81	36% 1471-2611 (4082)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$31.68	$32	+$0.32	98% 4434-91 (4525)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 55.1¢	$31.61	$24.93	+$5.93	62% 4574-2778 (7352)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Upavg 87.7¢	$17.95	$20.46	+$2.51	49% 1730-1766 (3496)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 64.9¢	$36.05	—	-$35.25	52% 3806-3541 (7347)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 48¢	$6.72	$12.83	+$6.1	44% 2374-3081 (5455)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 61¢	$9.35	—	-$9.35	49% 3600-3701 (7301)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 28.6¢	$7.15	$25	+$17.85	70% 1807-771 (2578)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 43.5¢	$4.75	—	-$4.75	66% 3908-1973 (5881)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 81.5¢	$9.78	$12	+$2.22	42% 2048-2798 (4846)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 47¢	$2.35	$5	+$2.65	48% 2484-2691 (5175)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 67.8¢	$30.4	—	-$30.4	49% 2456-2514 (4970)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 35.3¢	$5.5	—	-$5.5	50% 2795-2794 (5589)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$4.02	—	-$4.02	65% 2772-1511 (4283)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$523.68

Value

$494.99

PnL

+$8.24

Record

54%

4162-3504 (7666)

Both legs:

Up$238.5548.2¢+$259.5

Down$251.3150¢-$251.26

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$17.59

Value

$40.4

PnL

+$22.81

Record

36%

1471-2611 (4082)

Invested

$31.68

Value

$32

PnL

+$0.32

Record

98%

4434-91 (4525)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$31.61

Value

$24.93

PnL

+$5.93

Record

62%

4574-2778 (7352)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$17.95

Value

$20.46

PnL

+$2.51

Record

49%

1730-1766 (3496)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$36.05

Value

—

PnL

-$35.25

Record

52%

3806-3541 (7347)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$6.72

Value

$12.83

PnL

+$6.1

Record

44%

2374-3081 (5455)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$9.35

Value

—

PnL

-$9.35

Record

49%

3600-3701 (7301)

Invested

$7.15

Value

$25

PnL

+$17.85

Record

70%

1807-771 (2578)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$4.75

Value

—

PnL

-$4.75

Record

66%

3908-1973 (5881)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$9.78

Value

$12

PnL

+$2.22

Record

42%

2048-2798 (4846)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.35

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.65

Record

48%

2484-2691 (5175)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$30.4

Value

—

PnL

-$30.4

Record

49%

2456-2514 (4970)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$5.5

Value

—

PnL

-$5.5

Record

50%

2795-2794 (5589)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$4.02

Value

—

PnL

-$4.02

Record

65%

2772-1511 (4283)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe3ca633c...11b108

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794755400

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

antsaslyku

Up — $40.4

hoodquant

Up — $32

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $24.93

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $20.46

soswald1

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $12.83

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

BoneOhio

Up — $25

asdaefef

Down — $0

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