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UpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$6
Combined PnL
-$513.52
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares550
Combined PnL-$513.58
Down1 trader
Total Value$6
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$0.06
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.8¢ | $509.1 | — | -$493.8 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.3¢ | $8.72 | — | -$8.93 | 62% 4574-2778 (7352) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.7¢ | $4.85 | — | -$4.85 | 52% 3806-3541 (7347) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 66% 3908-1973 (5881) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$509.1
Value
—
PnL
-$493.8
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$8.72
Value
—
PnL
-$8.93
Record
62%
4574-2778 (7352)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
—
PnL
-$4.85
Record
52%
3806-3541 (7347)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
66%
3908-1973 (5881)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x12f8b9a8...07eb06
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794754500