Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 63%
$1.1K
-$1.3
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $550 | $550 | +$2.9 | 52% 3806-3541 (7347) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $8.52 | $8 | -$0.52 | 66% 3908-1973 (5881) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $3.42 | β | -$3.42 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $4.05 | $5 | +$0.95 | 62% 4574-2778 (7352) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 91Β’ | $1.52 | $1.67 | +$0.15 | 52% 2997-2745 (5742) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 7Β’ | $0.7 | β | -$0.7 | 44% 2374-3081 (5455) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.2Β’ | $0.65 | β | -$0.65 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$2.9
Record
52%
3806-3541 (7347)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Invested
$8.52
Value
$8
PnL
-$0.52
Record
66%
3908-1973 (5881)
Invested
$3.42
Value
β
PnL
-$3.42
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
Invested
$4.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.95
Record
62%
4574-2778 (7352)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$1.52
Value
$1.67
PnL
+$0.15
Record
52%
2997-2745 (5742)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
β
PnL
-$0.7
Record
44%
2374-3081 (5455)
Invested
$0.65
Value
β
PnL
-$0.65
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)