Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$2.93

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$20.07

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$1.83

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares8

Combined PnL-$1.1

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$550	$544.84	+$0.33	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$272.42	$544.84	+$271.28
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$270	—	-$270.95
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$503.64	$498.92	-$0.06	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$251.24	—	-$251.24
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.6¢	$247.44	$498.92	+$251.18
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 73¢	$5.8	$3.07	-$2.09	62% 4514-2735 (7249)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 98¢	$8.82	$9	+$0.18	67% 3861-1939 (5800)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$7.92	$8	+$0.08	65% 2731-1490 (4221)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$0.72	—	-$0.72	42% 2015-2741 (4756)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 24¢	$0.38	—	-$0.38	49% 2434-2485 (4919)