Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 100%
1 arb excluded
$583.91
$19.41
Smart Money Signal
8 of 8 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $505.06 | $500 | +$9.3 | 54% 4094-3445 (7539) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $249.61 | $500 | +$254.4 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.6¢ | $245.5 | — | -$245.1 | |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 89.4¢ | $14.55 | $15.1 | +$0.55 | 48% 2373-2615 (4988) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $20 | $30 | +$10 | 52% 3756-3495 (7251) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $6.61 | $12 | +$5.39 | 49% 3552-3629 (7181) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $5.88 | $6 | +$0.12 | 42% 2015-2741 (4756) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $4.5 | $5 | +$0.5 | 62% 4514-2735 (7249) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $3.85 | $5.58 | +$1.73 | 67% 3861-1939 (5800) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.55 | $5.11 | +$0.56 | 65% 2731-1490 (4221) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.55 | $5.11 | +$0.56 | 50% 2760-2748 (5508) |
Invested
$505.06
Value
$500
PnL
+$9.3
Record
54%
4094-3445 (7539)
Both legs:
ohioism<$100Invested
$14.55
Value
$15.1
PnL
+$0.55
Record
48%
2373-2615 (4988)
Invested
$20
Value
$30
PnL
+$10
Record
52%
3756-3495 (7251)
Invested
$6.61
Value
$12
PnL
+$5.39
Record
49%
3552-3629 (7181)
Invested
$5.88
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.12
Record
42%
2015-2741 (4756)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.5
Record
62%
4514-2735 (7249)
Invested
$3.85
Value
$5.58
PnL
+$1.73
Record
67%
3861-1939 (5800)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.56
Record
65%
2731-1490 (4221)
Invested
$4.55
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$0.56
Record
50%
2760-2748 (5508)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded

ohioism
Up — $15.1
soswald1
Up — $30
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $12
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up — $6
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $5
asdaefef
Up — $5.58
asidjasiodja
Up — $5.11
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5.11