Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$48

Combined PnL

$-1.0K

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,347

Combined PnL$-1.0K

Up4 traders

Total Value$48

Total Shares48

Combined PnL+$0.22

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1CTR	Downavg 50¢	$550	—	-$533.6	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$504.88	—	-$495.18	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 95.5¢	$29.14	$24	-$0.08	62% 4514-2735 (7249)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 99¢	$12.87	$13	+$0.13	50% 2760-2748 (5508)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 98¢	$5.88	$6	+$0.12	67% 3861-1939 (5800)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	65% 2731-1490 (4221)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$0.54	—	-$0.54	42% 2015-2741 (4756)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$5.25	—	-$5.25	53% 1555-1392 (2947)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 3.3¢	$0.95	—	-$0.95	49% 3552-3629 (7181)

Invested

$550

Value

—

PnL

-$533.6

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$504.88

Value

—

PnL

-$495.18

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$29.14

Value

$24

PnL

-$0.08

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$12.87

Value

$13

PnL

+$0.13

Record

50%

2760-2748 (5508)

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.12

Record

67%

3861-1939 (5800)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

65%

2731-1490 (4221)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$0.54

Value

—

PnL

-$0.54

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

Invested

$5.25

Value

—

PnL

-$5.25

Record

53%

1555-1392 (2947)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.95

Value

—

PnL

-$0.95

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xaf7ad460...9b676f

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794748500

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Down — $0

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $24

dvasdkasodk

Up — $13

asdaefef

Up — $6

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

0x50f7

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket