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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 60%

Total Value

$615.87

Combined PnL

$31.79

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$615.87

Total Shares616

Combined PnL+$57.29

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares51

Combined PnL-$25.5

Down — 55%Up — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.6¢	$514.01	$497.99	-$4.1	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 43.5¢	$22.05	$50.63	+$28.59	36% 1455-2580 (4035)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 29.8¢	$12.04	$33.17	+$21.13	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 60.3¢	$18.63	$22.36	+$3.73	49% 3552-3629 (7181)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 70¢	$18.7	—	-$18.7	49% 2434-2485 (4919)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 37.6¢	$2.15	$5.71	+$3.56	62% 4514-2735 (7249)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 27¢	$1.7	—	-$1.7	65% 2731-1490 (4221)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 27¢	$1.62	$6	+$4.38	42% 2015-2741 (4756)
AL almachCTR<$100	Upavg 58¢	$0.41	—	-$0.41	51% 1622-1530 (3152)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.15	—	-$0.15	53% 1555-1392 (2947)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 37.1¢	$4.53	—	-$4.53	67% 3861-1939 (5800)

Invested

$514.01

Value

$497.99

PnL

-$4.1

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$22.05

Value

$50.63

PnL

+$28.59

Record

36%

1455-2580 (4035)

Invested

$12.04

Value

$33.17

PnL

+$21.13

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$18.63

Value

$22.36

PnL

+$3.73

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$18.7

Value

—

PnL

-$18.7

Record

49%

2434-2485 (4919)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$2.15

Value

$5.71

PnL

+$3.56

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.7

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

65%

2731-1490 (4221)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.62

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.38

Record

42%

2015-2741 (4756)

Invested

$0.41

Value

—

PnL

-$0.41

Record

51%

1622-1530 (3152)

Invested

$0.15

Value

—

PnL

-$0.15

Record

53%

1555-1392 (2947)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$4.53

Value

—

PnL

-$4.53

Record

67%

3861-1939 (5800)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2ffcfdf3...b2bd1f

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794747300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $497.99

antsaslyku

Down — $50.63

soswald1

Down — $33.17

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $22.36

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5.71

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

almach

Up — $0

0x50f7

Up — $0

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