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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$35.22

Combined PnL

-$506.45

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares552

Combined PnL-$507.02

Up4 traders

Total Value$35.22

Total Shares35

Combined PnL+$0.57

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	54% 4094-3445 (7539)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 97.3¢	$12.71	$13.06	+$0.35	62% 4514-2735 (7249)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Downavg 12.8¢	$4.7	—	-$4.7	52% 3756-3495 (7251)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$10.89	$11	+$0.11	67% 3861-1939 (5800)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 8¢	$1.12	—	-$1.12	52% 2972-2710 (5682)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$6.93	$7	+$0.07	65% 2731-1490 (4221)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$0.36	—	-$0.36	49% 3552-3629 (7181)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$4.12	$4.16	+$0.04	98% 4362-90 (4452)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 14¢	$0.84	—	-$0.84	50% 2760-2748 (5508)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

54%

4094-3445 (7539)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$12.71

Value

$13.06

PnL

+$0.35

Record

62%

4514-2735 (7249)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$4.7

Value

—

PnL

-$4.7

Record

52%

3756-3495 (7251)

Invested

$10.89

Value

$11

PnL

+$0.11

Record

67%

3861-1939 (5800)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

52%

2972-2710 (5682)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$6.93

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.07

Record

65%

2731-1490 (4221)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.36

Value

—

PnL

-$0.36

Record

49%

3552-3629 (7181)

Invested

$4.12

Value

$4.16

PnL

+$0.04

Record

98%

4362-90 (4452)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$0.84

Value

—

PnL

-$0.84

Record

50%

2760-2748 (5508)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x07324a94...0fdbf3

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794747000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $13.06

soswald1

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $11

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $7

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $4.16

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

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