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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 88%

Total Value

$15.04

Combined PnL

-$520.93

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares620

Combined PnL-$528.66

Up1 trader

Total Value$15.04

Total Shares15

Combined PnL+$7.73

Down — 88%Up — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 50.2¢	$511.44	—	-$500.75	54% 3980-3330 (7310)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 27¢	$4.36	$15.04	+$7.73	62% 4407-2657 (7064)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 75.1¢	$11.4	—	-$11.4	48% 2400-2586 (4986)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 13.1¢	$7.68	—	-$7.68	50% 2694-2677 (5371)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 58¢	$3.48	—	-$3.48	50% 3495-3507 (7002)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 58¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	52% 2912-2637 (5549)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 6.9¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	67% 3766-1879 (5645)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	65% 2664-1450 (4114)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$511.44

Value

—

PnL

-$500.75

Record

54%

3980-3330 (7310)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.36

Value

$15.04

PnL

+$7.73

Record

62%

4407-2657 (7064)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$11.4

Value

—

PnL

-$11.4

Record

48%

2400-2586 (4986)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$7.68

Value

—

PnL

-$7.68

Record

50%

2694-2677 (5371)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$3.48

Value

—

PnL

-$3.48

Record

50%

3495-3507 (7002)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$2.9

Value

—

PnL

-$2.9

Record

52%

2912-2637 (5549)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

67%

3766-1879 (5645)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

65%

2664-1450 (4114)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 8 top traders (88%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x31dccb0c...d31e03

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794734700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $15.04

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

asdaefef

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

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