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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

$17.75

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$618.24

Total Shares618

Combined PnL+$31.91

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$14.16

Up — 70%Down — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Upavg 50¢	$550	$550	+$0	52% 3683-3445 (7128)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.1¢	$505.6	$502.42	+$3.22	54% 3980-3330 (7310)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$251.8	$502.42	+$251.82
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$248.41	—	-$248.6
ohioism<$100	Upavg 18¢	$2.7	$15	+$12.3	48% 2311-2552 (4863)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 86.5¢	$9.2	$10.63	+$1.43	50% 2694-2677 (5371)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 36.2¢	$5.43	$15	+$9.57	48% 2415-2654 (5069)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 52.4¢	$8.55	$16.32	+$7.77	48% 2400-2586 (4986)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 93¢	$5.7	$6.13	+$0.43	67% 3766-1879 (5645)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 92¢	$4.75	$5.16	+$0.41	65% 2664-1450 (4114)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 75.4¢	$6.43	—	-$6.43	52% 2912-2637 (5549)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 79¢	$4.74	—	-$4.74	42% 1925-2669 (4594)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$5.55	—	-$2.99	62% 4407-2657 (7064)

Invested

$550

Value

$550

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

3683-3445 (7128)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.6

Value

$502.42

PnL

+$3.22

Record

54%

3980-3330 (7310)

Both legs:

Up$251.850.1¢+$251.82

Down$248.4150¢-$248.6

Invested

$2.7

Value

$15

PnL

+$12.3

Record

48%

2311-2552 (4863)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$9.2

Value

$10.63

PnL

+$1.43

Record

50%

2694-2677 (5371)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$5.43

Value

$15

PnL

+$9.57

Record

48%

2415-2654 (5069)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$8.55

Value

$16.32

PnL

+$7.77

Record

48%

2400-2586 (4986)

Invested

$5.7

Value

$6.13

PnL

+$0.43

Record

67%

3766-1879 (5645)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5.16

PnL

+$0.41

Record

65%

2664-1450 (4114)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$6.43

Value

—

PnL

-$6.43

Record

52%

2912-2637 (5549)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$4.74

Value

—

PnL

-$4.74

Record

42%

1925-2669 (4594)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$5.55

Value

—

PnL

-$2.99

Record

62%

4407-2657 (7064)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xed28558d...04053a

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794733500

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Up — $550

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

ohioism

Up — $15

dvasdkasodk

Up — $10.63

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $15

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $16.32

asdaefef

Up — $6.13

asidjasiodja

Up — $5.16

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

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