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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$38.11

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$696.3

Total Shares696

Combined PnL+$51.51

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares63

Combined PnL-$13.4

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 93.1¢	$588.5	$632	+$43.5	42% 1925-2669 (4594)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.4¢	$504.82	$495.12	-$2	54% 3980-3330 (7310)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.4¢	$251.9	—	-$251.9
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$247.92	$495.12	+$249.9
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99.9¢	$32.97	$33	+$0.03	53% 1518-1369 (2887)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 65.3¢	$13.73	$20.97	+$7.24	36% 1441-2539 (3980)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 33¢	$4.95	—	-$4.95	48% 2415-2654 (5069)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 97¢	$4.9	$5.05	+$0.15	62% 4407-2657 (7064)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 89¢	$4.7	$5.28	+$0.58	50% 2694-2677 (5371)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.12	—	-$0.12	50% 3495-3507 (7002)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.26	—	-$0.26	52% 2912-2637 (5549)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 35¢	$8.07	—	-$8.07	48% 1426-1527 (2953)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$588.5

Value

$632

PnL

+$43.5

Record

42%

1925-2669 (4594)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$504.82

Value

$495.12

PnL

-$2

Record

54%

3980-3330 (7310)

Both legs:

Down$251.949.4¢-$251.9

Up$247.9250.1¢+$249.9

Invested

$32.97

Value

$33

PnL

+$0.03

Record

53%

1518-1369 (2887)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$13.73

Value

$20.97

PnL

+$7.24

Record

36%

1441-2539 (3980)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

—

PnL

-$4.95

Record

48%

2415-2654 (5069)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

62%

4407-2657 (7064)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5.28

PnL

+$0.58

Record

50%

2694-2677 (5371)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.12

Value

—

PnL

-$0.12

Record

50%

3495-3507 (7002)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.26

Value

—

PnL

-$0.26

Record

52%

2912-2637 (5549)

Invested

$8.07

Value

—

PnL

-$8.07

Record

48%

1426-1527 (2953)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x21e964f1...8dd788

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794733200

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $632

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x50f7

Up — $33

antsaslyku

Up — $20.97

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5.05

dvasdkasodk

Up — $5.28

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

PBot-5

Down — $0

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