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DownUpDownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$510.97
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares558
Combined PnL-$506.52
Up1 trader
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$4.45
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.7¢ | $502.14 | — | -$497.65 | 54% 3980-3330 (7310) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $19.03 | $15 | -$4.45 | 62% 4407-2657 (7064) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 48% 2415-2654 (5069) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.4¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 50% 2694-2677 (5371) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 67% 3766-1879 (5645) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.1¢ | $0.87 | — | -$0.87 | 52% 2912-2637 (5549) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$502.14
Value
—
PnL
-$497.65
Record
54%
3980-3330 (7310)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$19.03
Value
$15
PnL
-$4.45
Record
62%
4407-2657 (7064)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
48%
2415-2654 (5069)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
50%
2694-2677 (5371)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
67%
3766-1879 (5645)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.87
Value
—
PnL
-$0.87
Record
52%
2912-2637 (5549)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6d2f43f7...cb6811
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794732900