Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 78%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$7.56

Down

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down7 traders

Total Value$60.77

Total Shares61

Combined PnL+$4.17

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares31

Combined PnL-$11.73

Down — 78%Up — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$550	$550	+$13.05	52% 3670-3435 (7105)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$275	$550	+$275
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$260	—	-$261.95
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$522.41	$495.01	+$0.74	54% 3939-3307 (7246)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$247.56	$495.01	+$250.35
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.3¢	$247.48	—	-$249.62
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 95¢	$16.15	$17	+$0.85	50% 2671-2654 (5325)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 94.2¢	$30.94	$13	-$0.44	63% 4381-2627 (7008)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 48.4¢	$9.87	—	-$9.87	36% 1432-2527 (3959)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 85¢	$10.2	$12	+$1.8	42% 1920-2608 (4528)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 98¢	$6.64	$5	-$1.64	67% 3730-1865 (5595)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	98% 4191-88 (4279)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 61¢	$3.05	$5	+$1.95	52% 2890-2619 (5509)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Upavg 17¢	$1.86	—	-$1.86	46% 3122-3654 (6776)
PB PBot-5<$100	Downavg 59¢	$2.22	$3.77	+$1.55	48% 1421-1515 (2936)