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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 91%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

$3.09

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders
Total Value$632.22
Total Shares632
Combined PnL+$5.89
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$2.8
Up — 91%Down — 9%
SO
soswald1ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$550

Value

$550

PnL

+$1

Record

52%

3670-3435 (7105)

Both legs:

Up$27550¢+$275
Down$272.550¢-$274
BY
ByteBadger92
Up

Invested

$505.94

Value

$494.96

PnL

+$1.35

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$46.38

Value

$47

PnL

+$0.62

Record

42%

1920-2608 (4528)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$19.78

Value

$20

PnL

+$0.22

Record

98%

4191-88 (4279)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$15.7

Value

$15

PnL

-$0.7

Record

65%

2632-1442 (4074)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$10.27

Value

$10

PnL

-$0.27

Record

44%

2289-2937 (5226)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Up

Invested

$9.99

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.01

Record

52%

1501-1359 (2860)

BoneOhio<$100
Up

Invested

$13.95

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.05

Record

70%

1747-744 (2491)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$9.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.7

Record

47%

2293-2538 (4831)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5.2

PnL

+$2.65

Record

63%

4381-2627 (7008)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$4.8

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.25

Record

50%

2671-2654 (5325)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.8

Value

—

PnL

-$2.8

Record

52%

2890-2619 (5509)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd3ace32e...e02d79
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794730800

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$1
BY

ByteBadger92

Up — $494.96

+$1.35
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $47

+$0.62
HO

hoodquant

Up — $20

+$0.22
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $15

-$0.7

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

-$0.27
0X

0x50f7

Up — $10

+$0.01

BoneOhio

Up — $15

+$1.05

ohioism

Up — $10

+$0.7
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5.2

+$2.65
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