Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Up 80%
$620.71
-$467.86
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $550 | $532 | +$14.63 | 52% 3670-3435 (7105) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 51.3Β’ | $529.63 | β | -$499.45 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 93.8Β’ | $20.31 | $21.66 | +$1.35 | 50% 1672-1702 (3374) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $5.25 | $15 | +$9.75 | 48% 2398-2644 (5042) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $17.09 | $15 | -$2.09 | 67% 3730-1865 (5595) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 16.8Β’ | $9.22 | $15 | +$5.65 | 63% 4381-2627 (7008) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 9Β’ | $4.26 | β | -$4.26 | 50% 2671-2654 (5325) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $7.4 | $5 | -$2.4 | 52% 2890-2619 (5509) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $4.85 | $5.05 | +$0.2 | 98% 4191-88 (4279) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $3.24 | $12 | +$8.76 | 42% 1920-2608 (4528) |
Invested
$550
Value
$532
PnL
+$14.63
Record
52%
3670-3435 (7105)
Invested
$529.63
Value
β
PnL
-$499.45
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$20.31
Value
$21.66
PnL
+$1.35
Record
50%
1672-1702 (3374)
Invested
$5.25
Value
$15
PnL
+$9.75
Record
48%
2398-2644 (5042)
Invested
$17.09
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.09
Record
67%
3730-1865 (5595)
Invested
$9.22
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.65
Record
63%
4381-2627 (7008)
Invested
$4.26
Value
β
PnL
-$4.26
Record
50%
2671-2654 (5325)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.4
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.4
Record
52%
2890-2619 (5509)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.2
Record
98%
4191-88 (4279)
Invested
$3.24
Value
$12
PnL
+$8.76
Record
42%
1920-2608 (4528)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Up β $532
ByteBadger92
CTRDown β $0

cryingbabydicer87
Up β $21.66
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $15
asdaefef
Up β $15
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $15
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0

MayorMamdani
Up β $5
hoodquant
Up β $5.05
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Up β $12