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DownDownUpDown
MayorMamdani<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$521.5
Combined PnL
$2.01
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$521.5
Total Shares522
Combined PnL+$2.31
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares6
Combined PnL-$0.3
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $509.51 | $500 | +$0.2 | 54% 3939-3307 (7246) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $10.84 | $11 | +$0.16 | 63% 4381-2627 (7008) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 42% 1920-2608 (4528) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $4.5 | $5.5 | +$1 | 52% 3670-3435 (7105) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $4.05 | $5 | +$0.95 | 52% 2890-2619 (5509) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$509.51
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.2
Record
54%
3939-3307 (7246)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$10.84
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.16
Record
63%
4381-2627 (7008)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
42%
1920-2608 (4528)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.5
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
3670-3435 (7105)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.05
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.95
Record
52%
2890-2619 (5509)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc2021f6c...af6c30
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794730200