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MayorMamdani<$100UpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
-$2
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$580.08
Total Shares580
Combined PnL+$6.16
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares17
Combined PnL-$8.16
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $552.95 | $555 | +$7.55 | 52% 3660-3421 (7081) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $506.9 | $495 | -$0.45 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50.1¢ | $247.99 | $495 | +$249.95 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $250.57 | — | -$250.4 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.1¢ | $21.87 | $17.08 | -$4.65 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 67% 3707-1852 (5559) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 59.3¢ | $4.74 | $8 | +$3.26 | 52% 2876-2608 (5484) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 50% 2651-2645 (5296) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$552.95
Value
$555
PnL
+$7.55
Record
52%
3660-3421 (7081)
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$506.9
Value
$495
PnL
-$0.45
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Both legs:
Up$247.9950.1¢+$249.95
Down$250.5749.8¢-$250.4
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$21.87
Value
$17.08
PnL
-$4.65
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
67%
3707-1852 (5559)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.74
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.26
Record
52%
2876-2608 (5484)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
50%
2651-2645 (5296)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x23bc0f6a...82ddee
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794726300