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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$13
Combined PnL
-$499.82
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares517
Combined PnL-$499.75
Down2 traders
Total Value$13
Total Shares13
Combined PnL-$0.07
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $503.93 | — | -$497.6 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.7¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 52% 2876-2608 (5484) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $5.15 | $5 | -$0.15 | 62% 4354-2613 (6967) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 67% 3707-1852 (5559) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 43% 1909-2581 (4490) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$503.93
Value
—
PnL
-$497.6
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
52%
2876-2608 (5484)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.15
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.15
Record
62%
4354-2613 (6967)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
67%
3707-1852 (5559)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
43%
1909-2581 (4490)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6eb42999...f9a8a9
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794725400