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PolyConsensus
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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$661.98

Combined PnL

-$0.87

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders
Total Value$160.72
Total Shares161
Combined PnL+$15.65
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$16.52
Up — 70%Down — 30%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$511.1

Value

$501.26

PnL

+$6.59

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

Both legs:

Down$245.8949.1¢-$245.3
Up$251.0250.1¢+$251.89
HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$39.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$0.4

Record

98%

4120-86 (4206)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Up

Invested

$9.67

Value

$33.33

PnL

+$23.66

Record

36%

1423-2510 (3933)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$24.75

Value

$25

PnL

+$0.25

Record

50%

2621-2631 (5252)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$38.76

Value

$22.49

PnL

-$12.99

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$16.76

Value

$20.9

PnL

+$4.14

Record

52%

3641-3403 (7044)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$10.89

Value

$11

PnL

+$0.11

Record

67%

3669-1840 (5509)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

65%

2592-1424 (4016)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.61

Value

—

PnL

-$8.61

Record

47%

2362-2616 (4978)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.14

Value

—

PnL

-$2.14

Record

47%

2261-2512 (4773)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.77

Value

—

PnL

-$5.77

Record

70%

1728-737 (2465)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x96bda49e...53e328
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794725100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$6.59
HO

hoodquant

Up — $40

+$0.4
AN

antsaslyku

Up — $33.33

+$23.66
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $25

+$0.25
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $22.49

-$12.99
SO

soswald1

Up — $20.9

+$4.14
AS

asdaefef

Up — $11

+$0.11
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $8

+$0.08
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.61

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.14
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