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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 33%

Total Value

$1.0K

Combined PnL

-$44.41

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 12 top traders (33%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$1.0K

Total Shares1,040

Combined PnL-$10.85

Up8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares107

Combined PnL-$33.55

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$550	$515	-$1.79	52% 3641-3403 (7044)
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 51.2¢	$530.5	$500.01	-$9.95	54% 3871-3256 (7127)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$18.81	$19	+$0.19	98% 4120-86 (4206)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$6.15	—	-$6.15	47% 2362-2616 (4978)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 50.5¢	$8.13	—	-$8.13	50% 3424-3398 (6822)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 84¢	$5.31	$6	+$0.69	52% 2858-2596 (5454)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 29.5¢	$2.95	—	-$2.95	48% 2352-2543 (4895)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 44¢	$2.64	—	-$2.64	43% 1894-2540 (4434)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 42¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	47% 2261-2512 (4773)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 31¢	$1.55	—	-$1.55	50% 2621-2631 (5252)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 14.4¢	$7.27	—	-$7.27	36% 1423-2510 (3933)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$2.76	—	-$2.76	62% 4316-2591 (6907)

Invested

$550

Value

$515

PnL

-$1.79

Record

52%

3641-3403 (7044)

Invested

$530.5

Value

$500.01

PnL

-$9.95

Record

54%

3871-3256 (7127)

Invested

$18.81

Value

$19

PnL

+$0.19

Record

98%

4120-86 (4206)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$6.15

Value

—

PnL

-$6.15

Record

47%

2362-2616 (4978)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$8.13

Value

—

PnL

-$8.13

Record

50%

3424-3398 (6822)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$5.31

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.69

Record

52%

2858-2596 (5454)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.95

Value

—

PnL

-$2.95

Record

48%

2352-2543 (4895)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$2.64

Value

—

PnL

-$2.64

Record

43%

1894-2540 (4434)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.1

Value

—

PnL

-$2.1

Record

47%

2261-2512 (4773)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.55

Value

—

PnL

-$1.55

Record

50%

2621-2631 (5252)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$7.27

Value

—

PnL

-$7.27

Record

36%

1423-2510 (3933)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.76

Value

—

PnL

-$2.76

Record

62%

4316-2591 (6907)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 12 top traders (33%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe3b46f9a...4d7b37

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794723600

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Down — $515

ByteBadger92

Down — $500.01

hoodquant

Down — $19

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $6

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

ohioism

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

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