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DownDownUpDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$524.08
Combined PnL
$4.86
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$524.08
Total Shares524
Combined PnL+$5.96
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares9
Combined PnL-$1.1
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $503.49 | $500 | -$0.93 | 54% 3871-3256 (7127) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $9.85 | $15 | +$5.15 | 52% 3641-3403 (7044) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.9¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 50% 3424-3398 (6822) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84.5¢ | $10.18 | $7.05 | +$1.72 | 62% 4316-2591 (6907) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $2.01 | $2.03 | +$0.02 | 98% 4120-86 (4206) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$503.49
Value
$500
PnL
-$0.93
Record
54%
3871-3256 (7127)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$9.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.15
Record
52%
3641-3403 (7044)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
50%
3424-3398 (6822)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$10.18
Value
$7.05
PnL
+$1.72
Record
62%
4316-2591 (6907)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$2.01
Value
$2.03
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
4120-86 (4206)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd58dba17...f14587
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794723000