Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$550.05

Combined PnL

-$1.43

Down

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down6 traders

Total Value$55.05

Total Shares55

Combined PnL+$1.97

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares11

Combined PnL-$3.4

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.6¢	$508	$495	-$1.35	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.6¢	$250.41	$495	+$248.65
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 77.8¢	$22.65	$22.77	+$0.12	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 82.5¢	$8.25	$10	+$1.75	44% 2246-2882 (5128)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 89¢	$6.23	$7	+$0.77	52% 2844-2584 (5428)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 79¢	$6.55	$5.06	-$1.49	67% 3650-1820 (5470)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 94¢	$4.9	$5.21	+$0.31	50% 2598-2611 (5209)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 80¢	$5.3	$5	+$0.5	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 35¢	$2.1	—	-$2.1	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 24¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	52% 3621-3392 (7013)