Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$549.84

Combined PnL

-$8.3

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$50.41

Total Shares50

Combined PnL-$1.27

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares86

Combined PnL-$7.03

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$505.35	$499.43	+$8.2	54% 3849-3219 (7068)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.2¢	$246	—	-$245.8
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$249.44	$499.43	+$254
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$35.37	$35.41	+$0.04	52% 1470-1346 (2816)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 85¢	$6.55	$5	-$1.55	52% 3621-3392 (7013)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 92¢	$5.7	$5	-$0.46	62% 4286-2574 (6860)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	67% 3650-1820 (5470)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 10.1¢	$5.27	—	-$5.27	43% 1879-2519 (4398)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 2.6¢	$0.36	—	-$0.36	50% 3397-3361 (6758)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	44% 2246-2882 (5128)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1413-2501 (3914)