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DownUpDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$515.2
Combined PnL
-$1.84
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$515.2
Total Shares515
Combined PnL+$4.35
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$6.19
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$2.2 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $6.19 | — | -$6.19 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $3.85 | $5.2 | +$1.35 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 65% 2580-1409 (3989) |
BY
ByteBadger92Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$2.2
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$6.19
Value
—
PnL
-$6.19
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
$5.2
PnL
+$1.35
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
65%
2580-1409 (3989)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3fcdaff4...ce9a38
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794720600