Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 86%
$1.1K
$4.29
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50Β’ | $550 | $550 | +$0.4 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.8Β’ | $509.1 | $500 | +$0.5 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.4Β’ | $16.71 | $17.18 | +$0.89 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $10.63 | $12.5 | +$1.88 | 47% 2247-2492 (4739) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 50% 2598-2611 (5209) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 73Β’ | $3.65 | $5 | +$1.35 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5Β’ | $0.78 | β | -$0.78 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$0.4
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
Invested
$509.1
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.5
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
Invested
$16.71
Value
$17.18
PnL
+$0.89
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
ohioism<$100Invested
$10.63
Value
$12.5
PnL
+$1.88
Record
47%
2247-2492 (4739)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
50%
2598-2611 (5209)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.35
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
Invested
$0.78
Value
β
PnL
-$0.78
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)