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UpDownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$53.95
Combined PnL
-$507.08
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares533
Combined PnL-$500.39
Down3 traders
Total Value$53.95
Total Shares54
Combined PnL-$6.69
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 48.8¢ | $507.38 | — | -$494.21 | 54% 3849-3219 (7068) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88.2¢ | $34.99 | $25.5 | -$0.54 | 62% 4286-2574 (6860) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.85 | $15 | +$0.15 | 98% 4086-84 (4170) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $21.66 | $13.45 | -$6.31 | 52% 3621-3392 (7013) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.1¢ | $4.99 | — | -$4.99 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.19 | — | -$1.19 | 67% 3650-1820 (5470) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$507.38
Value
—
PnL
-$494.21
Record
54%
3849-3219 (7068)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$34.99
Value
$25.5
PnL
-$0.54
Record
62%
4286-2574 (6860)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$14.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.15
Record
98%
4086-84 (4170)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$21.66
Value
$13.45
PnL
-$6.31
Record
52%
3621-3392 (7013)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$4.99
Value
—
PnL
-$4.99
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.19
Value
—
PnL
-$1.19
Record
67%
3650-1820 (5470)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc0a76c5f...94911f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794719100