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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Down 25%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.1K
Combined PnL
$0.93
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 4 top traders (25%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$550
Total Shares550
Combined PnL+$11.05
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$10.12
Down — 25%Up — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $550 | $550 | +$11.05 | 52% 3603-3367 (6970) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $507.47 | $502.89 | +$6.4 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.8¢ | $250.56 | $502.89 | +$253.89 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.7¢ | $248.4 | — | -$247.5 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 11.8¢ | $5.64 | — | -$5.64 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $9.4 | — | -$2.12 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.8¢ | $2.36 | — | -$2.36 | 52% 1462-1344 (2806) |
SO
soswald1Invested
$550
Value
$550
PnL
+$11.05
Record
52%
3603-3367 (6970)
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$507.47
Value
$502.89
PnL
+$6.4
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Both legs:
Down$250.5649.8¢+$253.89
Up$248.449.7¢-$247.5
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$5.64
Value
—
PnL
-$5.64
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$9.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$2.36
Value
—
PnL
-$2.36
Record
52%
1462-1344 (2806)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc53e3ccd...8745a0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794718200