Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.1K
-$22.78
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50Β’ | $550 | $519 | -$8.73 | 52% 3603-3367 (6970) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 49.5Β’ | $507.38 | $491 | -$1.01 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 49.5Β’ | $247.93 | β | -$247.53 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.9Β’ | $245.02 | $491 | +$246.52 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.9Β’ | $48.28 | $33 | -$5.49 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 32.9Β’ | $17.93 | β | -$17.93 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 39Β’ | $10.6 | $22.96 | +$12.36 | 36% 1409-2482 (3891) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 21Β’ | $5.5 | β | -$5.5 | 50% 2579-2590 (5169) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.2Β’ | $14.27 | $11.36 | -$2.91 | 67% 3623-1806 (5429) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.4Β’ | $2.76 | β | -$2.76 | 47% 2327-2591 (4918) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $4.8 | $10 | +$5.2 | 49% 1381-1459 (2840) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 60.3Β’ | $4.53 | $7.51 | +$2.98 | 52% 2831-2570 (5401) |
Invested
$550
Value
$519
PnL
-$8.73
Record
52%
3603-3367 (6970)
Invested
$507.38
Value
$491
PnL
-$1.01
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.28
Value
$33
PnL
-$5.49
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
Invested
$17.93
Value
β
PnL
-$17.93
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
Invested
$10.6
Value
$22.96
PnL
+$12.36
Record
36%
1409-2482 (3891)
Invested
$5.5
Value
β
PnL
-$5.5
Record
50%
2579-2590 (5169)
Invested
$14.27
Value
$11.36
PnL
-$2.91
Record
67%
3623-1806 (5429)
Invested
$2.76
Value
β
PnL
-$2.76
Record
47%
2327-2591 (4918)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.2
Record
49%
1381-1459 (2840)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.53
Value
$7.51
PnL
+$2.98
Record
52%
2831-2570 (5401)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Up β $519
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $33
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown β $0
antsaslyku
Up β $22.96
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $11.36
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRDown β $0
PBot-5
Up β $10

MayorMamdani
Up β $7.51