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DownUpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 33%
Total Value
$40.82
Combined PnL
-$495.27
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 6 top traders (33%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares506
Combined PnL-$496.93
Up4 traders
Total Value$40.82
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$1.66
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$495.85 | 54% 3808-3199 (7007) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $26.11 | $20.58 | +$0.23 | 62% 4256-2556 (6812) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $8.05 | $10 | +$1.95 | 52% 3603-3367 (6970) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $6.11 | $5.24 | -$0.87 | 50% 3372-3320 (6692) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 50% 2579-2590 (5169) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.08 | 43% 1865-2503 (4368) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$495.85
Record
54%
3808-3199 (7007)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$26.11
Value
$20.58
PnL
+$0.23
Record
62%
4256-2556 (6812)
SO
soswald1<$100Invested
$8.05
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.95
Record
52%
3603-3367 (6970)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$6.11
Value
$5.24
PnL
-$0.87
Record
50%
3372-3320 (6692)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
50%
2579-2590 (5169)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
43%
1865-2503 (4368)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8f7c52d1...a653dd
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794716100