Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$631.49

Combined PnL

-$0.07

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Up0%

Down100%

Down6 traders

Total Value$135.23

Total Shares135

Combined PnL+$17.26

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares136

Combined PnL-$17.33

Down — 55%Up — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.6¢	$510.22	$496.26	-$2.11	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.7¢	$246.63	$496.26	+$249.76
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.6¢	$250.59	—	-$251.87
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 36.9¢	$35.93	$55.64	+$19.71	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 55.3¢	$32.73	$36.2	+$5.72	52% 3571-3339 (6910)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$1.01	—	-$1.01	44% 2198-2839 (5037)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 84.9¢	$24.34	$16.39	-$6.1	63% 4221-2527 (6748)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 86¢	$15.42	$12	-$3.42	50% 2549-2566 (5115)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98.5¢	$9.85	$10	+$0.15	98% 3999-84 (4083)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 85¢	$5.65	—	-$5.65	65% 2545-1392 (3937)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 76¢	$3.8	$5	+$1.2	52% 2809-2555 (5364)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$4.6	—	-$4.6	48% 2280-2489 (4769)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 50.6¢	$8.77	—	-$6.02	67% 3590-1785 (5375)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1405-2441 (3846)